ZEW Survey – Expectations
Economic calendar
Wednesday, 29 November
Description
The Gross Domestic Product released by the SCB - Statistics Sweden is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by Sweden. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of Swedish economic activity and health. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Krona, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish).
Description
The Gross Domestic Product released by the SCB - Statistics Sweden is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced by Sweden. The GDP is considered as a broad measure of Swedish economic activity and health. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Krona, while a falling trend is seen as negative (or bearish).
Description
The Retail Sales released by the SCB - Statistics Sweden is a measure of changes in sales of the Swedish retail sector. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Krona, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
Description
The Retail Sales released by the SCB - Statistics Sweden is a measure of changes in sales of the Swedish retail sector. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Krona, while a low reading is seen as negative (or Bearish).
Description
The Trade Balance released by the SCB - Statistics Sweden is a balance between exports and imports of total goods and services. A positive value shows trade surplus, while a negative value shows trade deficit. It is an event that generates some volatility for the Swedish Krona. If a steady demand in exchange for Swedish exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive (or bullish) for the Krona.
Description
The Interest Rate Decision is announced by the Bank of Thailand. If the bank is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates, it is seen as positive, or bullish, for the THB, while a dovish outlook for the economy (or a rate cut) is seen as negative, or bearish, for the currency.
Description
The ZEW Survey Expectations published by the Centre for European Economic Research presents business conditions, employment conditions and other elements affecting the day to day running of a business in Switzerland. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the CHF, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Description
The Consumer Credit released by the Bank of England is an amount of money that individuals borrowed in the previous month. It shows if consumers can afford large expenses, which can fuel economic growth. However, a high figure may also indicate that the economy is overheating, as consumers borrow in order to live beyond their means. A high reading is seen as positive for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative.
Description
M4 Money is widely referred as "broad money" or simply "money supply". The M4 Money Supply released by the Bank of England measures all the sterling in circulation, encompassing notes and coins as well as money held in bank accounts. It is considered as an important indicator of inflation, as monetary expansion adds pressure to the exchange rates. Normally, an acceleration of the M4 money is considered as positive for the GBP, whereas a decline is negative.
Description
M4 Money is widely referred as "broad money" or simply "money supply". The M4 Money Supply released by the Bank of England measures all the sterling in circulation, encompassing notes and coins as well as money held in bank accounts. It is considered as an important indicator of inflation, as monetary expansion adds pressure to the exchange rates. Normally, an acceleration of the M4 money is considered as positive for the GBP, whereas a decline is negative.
Description
The Mortgage Approvals released by the Bank of England presents the number of various Mortgage Approvals. It is considered as a leading indicator of the UK Housing Market. A Mortgage growth represents a healthy housing market that stimulates the overall UK economy. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Description
UK Net Lending to Individuals released by the Bank of England is a monthly measure of growth rates, amounts outstanding and changes in total lending to individuals, divided into lending secured on dwellings and consumer credit. It shows a picture of whether or not consumers are willing to spend money. A high reading is positive for the GBP, while a low reading is negative.
Description
The Producer Price Index released by the National Statistics Service measures the average changes in prices in primary markets of Greece by producers of commodities in all states of processing. Changes in the PPI are widely followed as an indicator of inflation. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Description
The M3 Money Supply released by the Reserve Bank of India measures all the India Rupees in circulation, encompassing notes and coins as well as money held in bank accounts. It is considered as an important indicator of inflation, as monetary expansion adds pressure to the exchange rates. An acceleration of the M3 money is considered as positive for the Rupee, whereas a decline is negative.
Description
The MBA Mortgage Applications released by the Mortgage Bankers Association presents various mortgage applications. It is considered as a leading indicator of the U.S Housing Market. A Mortgage growth represents a healthy housing market that stimulates the overall US economy. Normally, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Description
The Real Personal Consumption Expenditure released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Department of Commerce is an average of the amount of money the consumers spend in a month on durable goods, consumer products, and services.. It is considered as an important indicator of inflation. Generally speaking, a high reading is bullish for the USD, while a low reading is bearish.
Description
The Goods Trade Balance released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau is the difference in value between imported and exported goods during a certain month. The figure will be released monthly basis, between 4-7 days before the International Trade Balance, presenting advanced statistics for the reference month. Given that the it started in July 2015, volatility could be erratic during the first releases, although should be understood that higher exports and less imports are dollar positive, whilst the other way around, should produce a negative effect on the USD.
Description
The Gross Domestic Product Annualized released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis shows the monetary value of all the goods, services and structures produced within a country in a given period of time. GDP Annualized is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.
Description
The GDP Price Index released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Department of Commerce gauges the change in the prices of goods and services. Changes in the GDP price index are followed as an indicator of inflationary pressure that may anticipate interest rates to rise. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative, or bearish.
Description
Personal Consumption Expenditures, released by US Department of Commerce, measures price changes in consumer goods and services. Personal consumption expenditures consist of the actual and imputed expenditures of households; the measure includes data pertaining to durables, non-durables and services. It is essentially a measure of goods and services targeted toward individuals and consumed by individuals.
Description
The Wholesale Inventories released by the US Census Bureau captures sales and inventory statistics from the second stage of the manufacturing process. The sales figures do not move the market as they do not reflect personal consumption while wholesale inventories may change the aggregate inventory profile which can influence the GDP forecast. A high inventory suggests economic slowing in the US, that is seen as negative (or bearish) for the USD, whereas a low reading is seen as positive (or bullish).
Description
The Pending Home Sales released by the National Association of Realtors is a leading indicator of trends of the housing market in the US It captures residential housing contract activity of existing single-family homes. As the housing market is considered as a sensitive factor to the US economy, it generates some volatility for the USD. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Description
The Pending Home Sales released by the National Association of Realtors is a leading indicator of trends of the housing market in the US It captures residential housing contract activity of existing single-family homes. As the housing market is considered as a sensitive factor to the US economy, it generates some volatility for the USD. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).
Description
The EIA Crude Oil stockpiles report is a weekly measure of the change in the number of barrels in stock of crude oil and its derivates, and it's released by the Energy Information Administration. This report tends to generate large price volatility, as oil prices impact on worldwide economies, affecting the most, commodity related currencies such as the Canadian dollar. Despite it has a limited impact among currencies, this report tends to affect the price of oil itself, and, therefore, had a more notorious impact on WTI crude futures.
Description
Displayed in the calendar is the average yield on the notes auctioned by US Department of Treasury. US notes have maturities of 2, 3, 5, 7, and 10 years and pay interest every six months. The yield on the notes represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bond until maturity. Investors monitor the yield volatility and compare the average rate at auction to the rate at previous auctions of the same security as an indicator of the government debt situation.
Description
The Beige Book reports on the current US economic situation. Through interviews with key business contacts, economists, market experts, and other sources are gathered by each of the 12 Federal Reserve Districts. The survey gives a picture of the overall US economic growth. An optimistic view of those authorities is considered as positive, or bullish for the USD, whereas a pessimistic view is considered as negative, or bearish for the Dollar.
