NVIDIA

11-02-2025
NVIDIA

START - $135.73 | FINISH - $160

  1. HORIZON: 3 months (Short-Term)
  2. FROM: 12 February 2025 | UNTIL: 12 May 2025
  3. ​​MANAGEMENT ASSESSMENT: 17.86% growth
  4. RECOMMENDATION: BUY

TRADING PLAN

●       Entry: Enter at or near $135.70 per share.

●       Stop Loss: Set the stop loss at $120 to manage potential downside risk.

●       Target: $160 by the end of the investment horizon, reflecting an anticipated 17.86% upside from the current price.

WHY THESE SHARES HAVE POTENTIAL FOR PROFIT

●       Financial Performance: In Q3 FY2025, NVIDIA reported record revenue of $35.1 billion, a 17% increase from the previous quarter and a 94% year-over-year rise. This growth was primarily driven by the data centre division, which achieved $30.8 billion in revenue, up 112% from a year ago.

●       Market Leadership in AI and Accelerated Computing: NVIDIA is a global leader in AI, GPU technology, and accelerated computing, powering over 75% of the world’s top supercomputers and cloud providers. Its full-stack platform, combining hardware, software, and algorithms, positions NVIDIA as an important enabler of AI growth, including generative AI and large language models (LLMs), ensuring its dominance in this rapidly growing market.

●       Diversified Business Model: NVIDIA’s business spans multiple high-growth sectors, including data centres, gaming, automotive, and Omniverse. Its GeForce platform dominates gaming, its DRIVE platform leads in autonomous vehicles, and its Omniverse platform is transforming industries like manufacturing and robotics.

INDICATORS

The share is trading within an ascending channel pattern, consistently making higher highs and higher lows, indicating a strong uptrend. It recently tested the channel's lower boundary near the support level at $130 and successfully held above it, confirming support. Momentum indicators remain bullish, with the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) forming a bullish crossover on Monday, signalling potential upward momentum in the short term. A sustained move above this level could reinforce the bullish trend, with the next resistance level to watch at $150.

RISKS

●       Valuation Risk: NVIDIA’s stock has seen rapid price appreciation due to its strong performance in AI and data centers. This has led to a high valuation, meaning the stock may be priced for near-perfect execution. If NVIDIA fails to meet market expectations, even slightly, the stock could experience significant volatility or a correction. Investors should be cautious about buying at peak valuations.

●       Competition Risk: NVIDIA operates in a highly competitive market, including AI chips, GPUs, and data centre solutions. Competitors like AMD, Intel, and custom chip designers like Google and Amazon are developing their own AI and GPU technologies, which could erode NVIDIA’s market share.

Disclaimer:
*Any opinions, views, analysis or other information provided in this article is provided by BCS Markets SA trading as BROKSTOCK as general market commentary and should not be viewed as advice according to the FAIS Act of 2002. BCS Markets SA does not warrant the correctness, accuracy, timeliness, reliability or completeness of any information provided by third parties. You must rely upon your judgement in all aspects of your investment decisions and all decisions are made at your own risk. BCS Markets SA and any of its employees shall not be responsible for and will not accept any liability for any direct or indirect loss including without limitation any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of the market commentary. The content contained within the article is subject to change at any time without notice. BCS Markets SA is an authorised financial services provider FSP No. 51404.
** This article was prepared by BROKSTOCK analyst Maboko Seabi

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